EXPER A1B DRIVER

Negative allowable anthropogenic carbon emissions at and beyond cannot be ruled out for the E1 scenario. Salas y Melia, M. The initial condition of each simulation member is taken from the different states of the PIcntrl fields at simulation years of 1, 51, , and Each experiment consists of five-member ensembles of simulation. Two kinds of experiment were conducted: This paper present results from multiple comprehensive models used to simulate an aggressive mitigation scenario based on detailed results of an Integrated Assessment Model. Atmospheric carbon-dioxide concentrations pathways rather than carbon emissions are specified in all models, including five ESMs that contain interactive carbon cycles.

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2. Experimental design

The pre-industrial control experiment PIcntrl simulates climate changes using fixed forcing agents at levels from the year e.

Print page Send to friend. This experiment produced continuous high-resolution simulation data for the North Pacific, enabling assessment of future climate changes in ocean areas while eliminating short-term a1v climate variations through time-series analysis of NPOGCM results.

The initial condition of each simulation member is taken from the respective state in the year in 20C3M. Summary of future projection. For further details of the experiments using the CGCM2.

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JMA | Global Warming Projection Vol.7

In E1 twenty-first century global warming remains below 2K in most models, but global mean precipitation changes are higher than in A1B up to and consistently higher per degree of warming. The forcing agents are the historical record of or estimated greenhouse gases, tropospheric sulfate aerosol, volcanoes and solar forcing.

It is used as reference for the following historical and scenario experiments, and also provides the initial conditions for the historical experiment. The initial condition of each simulation member is taken from the different states of the PIcntrl fields at simulation years of 1, 51,and Pre-industrial control experiment PIcntrl The pre-industrial control experiment PIcntrl simulates climate changes using fixed forcing agents at levels from the year e.

Negative allowable anthropogenic carbon emissions at and beyond cannot be ruled out for the E1 scenario. Each member is integrated, including the year period from to Salas y Melia, M. The spread in global temperature and precipitation responses is partly attributable to inter-model variations in aerosol loading and representations of aerosol-related radiative forcing effects.

Our study illustrates that the benefits of mitigation will not be realised in temperature terms until several decades after emissions reductions begin, and may vary considerably between regions. Home Global Warming Projection.

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Met Office Hadley Centre Model Data Holdings

Resulting twenty-first century global mean warming and precipitation changes for A1B are broadly consistent with previous studies. Two kinds of experiment were conducted: The historical experiment 20C3M simulates climate changes in the 20th century.

Specified forcings also include minor greenhouse gas concentration pathways, ozone concentration, aerosols via concentrations or precursor emissions and land use change in sxper models.

Climate change under aggressive mitigation: This paper present results from multiple comprehensive models used to simulate an aggressive mitigation scenario based on detailed results of an Integrated Assessment Model.

Each experiment consists of five-member ensembles of simulation. Each member is integrated for years from to For Global Warming Projection Vol.

Atmospheric carbon-dioxide concentrations pathways rather than carbon emissions are specified in all models, including five ESMs that contain interactive carbon cycles.